Wednesday, August 30, 2017
Tuesday, August 29, 2017
Pakistan Census 2017 (Pashtun Population)
Below is the approximate Pashtun population of Pakistan. The population of FATA has been grossly understated in Census 2017 (IDPs during operation in South Waziristan exceeded 1.5 million). According to my calculation the population of FATA has to be around 8-10 million. Furthermore, the percentage in my estimation of Pashtuns in non-Pashtun areas has also been very conservative, however, i am of the opinion that the below numbers give us some idea of the population of Pashtuns in Pakistan.
I have come across many studies that puts Pashtun population solely in Karachi at around 7 million. Furthermore, in case of Punjab, there is Pashtun indigenous population in Attock and Mianwali district, in addition to the migration of Pashtuns to major cities of Punjab due to economic reasons. Finally, war on terror has pushed many pashtuns to Sindh and Punjab which has to be considered.
Saturday, December 17, 2016
Sunnis in Iraq
One thing that I have noticed is that before an invasion American agencies that publishes statistics (e.g. CIA Fact Book) tend to skew the demographic numbers of the country that they are about to invade in USA favor. Case in point is Iraq, where Sunnis and Shias have been almost equal in number for at least last two centuries, however, by breaking the country between Arabs, Kurds and other groups, the Sunni population has been shown as just 31%!!. Recent pew survey shows that the population of Shias and Sunnis in Iraq as almost equal (http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2014/06/18/the-sunni-shia-divide-where-they-live-what-they-believe-and-how-they-view-each-other/).
Furthermore, a very important factor that has to be considered is that the Baghdad holds around quarter of the population of Iraq and has always been a traditionally Sunni city. Among the seven largest cities, where the population is above 1 Million people, four are solidly Sunni (Mosul, Erbil, Kirkuk, Sulimaniya), while the Shia cities are Baghdad, Basra and Hillala.
Finally, It should be considered that the number of Sunnis in Baghdad have been somewhat under stated in the table below, however, if we agree with the argument that they have migrated out of Baghdad, it does not mean that they have left the country therefore, should be included in the total Sunni population of the Country.
Governorate | Population | Main Ethnicity | Sunni (%) | Shia (%) |
Al Anbar | 1,561,400 | Arab | 92 | 5 |
Babil | 1,820,700 | Arab | 15 | 85 |
Baghdad | 7,055,200 | Arab | 30 | 60 |
Basra | 2,532,000 | Arab | 3 | 95 |
Dhi Qar | 1,836,200 | Arab | 2 | 95 |
Al-QÄdisiyyah | 1,134,300 | Arab | 2 | 95 |
Diyala | 1,443,200 | Arab | 65 | 25 |
Dohuk | 1,128,700 | Kurd | 95 | 3 |
Erbil | 1,612,700 | Kurd | 95 | 3 |
Halabja | 337,000 | Kurd | 95 | 3 |
Karbala | 1,066,600 | Arab | 1 | 95 |
Kirkuk | 1,395,600 | Arab/Kurd | 95 | 2 |
Maysan | 971,400 | Arab | 2 | 95 |
Muthanna | 719,100 | Arab | 35 | 65 |
Najaf | 1,285,500 | Arab | 2 | 80 |
Nineveh | 3,270,400 | Arab/Kurd | 90 | 2 |
Saladin | 1,408,200 | Arab | 95 | 2 |
Sulaymaniyah | 1,878,800 | Kurd | 95 | 2 |
Wasit | 1,210,600 | Arab | 20 | 80 |
Total | 33,667,600 | 46.826985 | 47.81679 |
Friday, October 17, 2014
Thursday, June 26, 2014
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